Module 1 - Trade, financial system and macroeconomic management in a globalizing economy 


  Module Outline
  Reading material
  BioData

 

Course Description:  This module offers an integrated approach to the analysis of the implications for growth and development of trade, finance and macroeconomic policies, both at the national and the international level. Its objective is to enhance the understanding of participants of the increasing integration and interdependence of the individual countries and of the challenges resulting from globalization and regionalisation. It also looks at the implications of trade liberalization on growth and development, and for the need of sound and coherent macroeconomic and financial policies.

Programme:

Monday 12 July 2004
0900-1000 hrs:

Welcome address: Ministry of Industry and International Trade and UNCTAD

  Presenters: TBD
 

Globalization and Development

1030-1200 hrs: Globalization and development: an introduction to the issues
  The driving forces behind globalization and the role of trade and capital movements for economic convergence will be discussed, as well as problems for the integration of transitional and emerging economies in the globalization process. Presenter: Jan Kregel
1330-1500
hrs:
The international trading system and industrialization in developing and emerging economies
  The implications of trade liberalization through WTO on industrialization and growth will be analysed, taking into account development during the last two decades. Presenter: Mehdi Shafaeddin
1530-1700 hrs
General debate
Panel: Led by Jan Kregel and M. Shafaeddin
Tuesday, 13 July 2004
  Economic reform and prospects for integration to the world economy
0900-1030 hrs Export dynamism and diversification; is the experience of developing countries applicable to transitional economies
  The evolution of world trade in various categories of products and the pattern of participation of various countries in international trade will be examined and their industrial policies will be discussed. Presenters: Jan Kregel
1100-1230 hrs

International trade and finance and policy coherence

  This is a discussion of the interrelation between trade and financial liberalization and the impact of private capital flows on the balance of payments and growth prospects of developing countries and transitional economies, and of the resulting challenges for macroeconomic, trade and exchange-rate policies. Presenters: Jan Kregel
1400-1530 hrs

Economic reforms and comparative performance of transitional economies, Videoconference from UNECE-Geneva

  During the period following the collapse of communism, world trade keeps expanding faster than world production. There is a massive change in trading patterns of the 27 ECE post-communist economies: the formerly insulated Soviet bloc now trades mainly with the rest of the world. Within the former bloc, two groups of post-communist economies have emerged: (1) Baltic and central Europe countries (2) south east Europe and CIS countries. The first integrates successfully into the global economy, pursuing liberal trade policies and attracting relatively large inflows of foreign direct investment. The second integrates less rapidly, attracts less FDI and is held back by obstructive policies. This presentation, prepared by the Economic Analysis Division of the UNECE, examines these patterns in more detail and discusses some options available to policymakers in less successful SEE and CIS. Presenters: Jaromir Cekota/UNECE
1600-1700 hrs
General debate
Panel: Led byJan Kregel and M. Shafaeddin
Wednesday, 14 July 2004
 

Interrelations between trade and finance, and policy coherence

0900-1030 hrs

Economic reform, investment and growth; experience of the recent decade

  The impact of economic reform on investment decision and the role of FDI will be analysed in the light of the experience of the last two decades to investigate whether there are similarities between developing countries and transitional economies. Presenter: M. Shafaeddin
1100-1230 hrs

Issues in the reform of the international financial system

 
  This is a discussion of unresolved systemic issues that have arisen in the context of financial crises in various emerging-market economies. Appropriate exchange-rate policies for developing countries and requirements for the prevention and better management of financial crises will also be discussed. Presenter: Jan Kregel
1400-1530 hrs

The Czech experience with transition to a market economy

 
  The experience of the Czech Republic in economic reform and transition would be judged as against the targets and goals, which were set by the Government and the criteria and policies outlined in the Washington consensus. An attempt will be made to focus on economic issues in particular the question of change of ownership, speed and timing of transformation. If time allows, reference will be made to such obstacles as financing of transformation as well as socio-political issues.
Presenter: Ingeborg Němcová
1600-1700 hrs
General Debate
Panel: Led byJan Kregel

Reading List go to top

Globalization and development: an introduction to the issues
 
  • Trade and Development Report 1996- Chapter 3 : RESPONDING TO THE NEW GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT
  • Trade and Development Report 1997- Chapter 2 : GLOBALIZATION AND ECONOMIC CONVERGENCE
  • Trade and Development Report 1999- Chapter 6 : RETHINKING POLICIES FOR DEVELOPMENT
The international trading system and industrialization in developing and emerging economies
 
  • FREE TRADE OR FAIR TRADE? An enquiry into the causes of failure in recent trade negotiations, Mehdi Shafaeddin, UNCTAD Discussion Paper No. 153, December 2000
  • Trade and Development Report 1999- Chapter 4: PAYMENTS DEFICITS, LIBERALIZATION AND GROWTH IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
  • The Global Governance of Trade As If Development Really Mattered, Dani Rodrik, October 2001, UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME
Export dynamism and diversification; is the experience of developing countries applicable to transitional economies?
 
  • Trade and Development Report 2002- Chapter 3 : EXPORT DYNAMISM AND INDUSTRIALIZATION IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
International trade and finance and policy coherence
 
  • Trade and Development Report 1999- Chapter 4: PAYMENTS DEFICITS, LIBERALIZATION AND GROWTH IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
  • Trade and Development Report 1999- Chapter 5: CAPITAL FLOWS TO DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Economic reforms and comparative performance of transitional economies
 
Economic reform, investment and growth; experience of the recent decade
 
  • Trade and Development, 2003, chapter IV
  • Mehdi Shafaeddin: Economic reform, investment and development; mimeograph, UNCTAD
Issues in the reform of the international financial system
 

BioData go to top

Mehdi Shafaeddin Mehdi Shafaeddin holds a D.Phil. in Economic Development (University of Oxford, U.K.); Senior Economic Affairs Officer in charge of Macroeconomic and Development Policies Branch, Division on Globalization and Development Strategies, Staff member of the UNCTAD secretariat since 1981; member of the team preparing the Trade and Development Report; extensive experience in teaching and research; numerous publications on development issues, including trade and industrial policy, economic reform, investment, agricultural policies, exchange rates and globalization.
Jaromir Cekota Jaromir Cekota works since September 2003 in the Economic Analysis Division at the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe in Geneva. His former positions include that of an economist in the Country Studies branch of the Economics Department of the OECD in Paris, resident representative of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development in Bratislava, and associate professor at Mount Saint Vincent University in Halifax. He received a PhD degree in economics at the University of Calgary.
Ingeborg Němcová Ingeborg Němcová is Associate Professor of Economic Policy and Jean Monnet Chair in Economics at the University of Economics in Prague. She is a specialist in European Union Economic Policy. Her long-term research orientation has focused on general issues of transformation in the CEE region, privatisation, corporate governance and FDIs. She has been reading regular lectures also on these topics at international programmes at the University of Economics and at the Charles University in Prague.
Jan Kregel Jan Kregel is currently Senior Interregional Advisor at UNCTAD, serving in the New York Liaison Office. He previously was Professor of Economics in the Università degli Studi di Bologna as well as serving as Professor of International Economics in the Johns Hopkins University Paul Nitze School of Advanced International Studies where he has also served as Associate Director of its Bologna Center from 1987-90. A Life Fellow of the Royal Economic Society (U.K.), an Elected member of the Società Italiana degli Economisti and Miembro Distinguido of the Asociacion Nacional de Economistas y Contadores de Cuba, biographical entries appear in all editions of Who's Who in Economics, and recent editions of Who's Who in Europe (now European Biographical Dictionary, Who's Who in the World as well as in La Pensée Economique depuis Keynes: Historique et Dictionaire des principaux auteurs, M. Beaud and G. Dostaler, eds. Professor Kregel received his training in economics at Rutgers University in the US and the University of Cambridge in England; he has held Lectureships and Senior Lectureships in universities in the United Kingdom, Chairs of Economics in the United States and the Netherlands, and visiting Chairs of Economics and Finance in Belgium, France, Germany and Mexico.

Among his major published works are a series of books in economic theory including Rate of Profit, Distribution and Growth: Two Views, Macmillan, 1971, Theory of Growth, Macmillan, 1972, The Reconstruction of Political Economy, 1973, 2nd edition, Macmillan, 1975, Theory of Capital, 1976, and Origini e sviluppo dei mercati finanzieri, 1996, as well as over one hundred and fifty articles published as chapters of edited books and in scholarly journals including the Economic Journal, American Economic Review, Journal of Economic Literature, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Economie Appliquée, and Giornale degli Economisti among others. His works have been published or translated in Italian, French, German, Dutch, Spanish, Basque, Portuguese, Greek, Japanese, Russian, Turkish, Finnish, Hungarian, Serbo-Croat, Hindi and Ukrainian.